Europa Conference League · resolved market
FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3d85018eb6220c99db5e94e8e33669e9de19f36af0f4ff9a52ef4394bb64161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,161$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.76 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 1,974$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.4 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 61c | 821.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.46 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 390.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 56c | 179.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 40c | 152.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb2…e990backed Over | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 40c | 74.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 41c | 71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 59c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)FCSB won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.