Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a07e636a8b52a11f339fe65231e97780b3d169d8e65eecbe540c61d836b2616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FCSBof Feyenoord Rotterdam, FCSB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FCSB | 65c | 3,926$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.28 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 34c | 2,938$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 27c | 2,023$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.76 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FCSB | 68c | 992.71$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…e36ebacked FCSB | 68c | 226.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 36c | 150.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked FCSB | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed FCSB | 69c | 76.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…2a8ebacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed FCSB | 61c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed FCSB | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed FCSB | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed FCSB | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked FCSB | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked FCSB | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 65cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed FCSB | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FCSB | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FCSB | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)this page
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.