Europa Conference League · resolved market
FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0894a54f2bf0994cd220ae3f4e2372bcc4e91f6380d66c5d77be21c18aeb0acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 27c | 304.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 35c | 290.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 272.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 66c | 228.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 34c | 212.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 212.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 62c | 66.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 63c | 53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb544…8d8abacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 37c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5this page
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)FCSB won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.