Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x942849031404f19ebe0d9910913cb0a06825c3a2c68e8448b777b2357a3d8a52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 13c | 27,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 6,635$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.17 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 56c | 1,999$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.44 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…f456backed Under | 45c | 1,773$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 56c | 1,666$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 1,487$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.11 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 1,477$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.26 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 23c | 1,250$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Over | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 56c | 1,136$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 56c | 1,014$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.84 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 45c | 634$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 48c | 620$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Under | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Over | 56c | 525.89$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 44c | 231.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 223.91$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 56c | 198.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 44c | 175.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 136.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 15c | 90.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 56c | 83.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 74.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Over | 57c | 52.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…458bbacked Over | 61c | 25.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.