Europa Conference League · resolved market
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd369c8e4f1799fa9b854df562111deb4676738dd54b49fa34e951fb254fb2b2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 70c | 3,569$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 1,281$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 46c | 1,085$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 937.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.17 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 30c | 697.69$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.42 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 47c | 607$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 542.86$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.27 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Under | 49c | 403.79$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 232.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 210.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 161.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Under | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…b350backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…bdeebacked Under | 49c | 80.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Over | 53c | 56.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 45c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…175cbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 39c | 27.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 39c | 27.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 25.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5this page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.