Europa Conference League · resolved market
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf26a91a2d041db486ec3bcb3710a5c4587c9256fca87d57a624b40fa7d6e393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 979.81$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.68 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 58c | 165.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 138.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 107.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 43c | 96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 43c | 79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Yes | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…cc35backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Yes | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 58c | 30.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 44c | 27.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 56c | 27.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Yes | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…5348backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Yes | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.