Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c277f44614c935b09df861910d1331b85056e7b7ba5c0a2b7d2fbbe00b9e94c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Betis Balompiéof Real Betis Balompié, GNK Dinamo Zagreb
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 43c | 2,224$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Real Betis Balompié | 26c | 740.12$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 76c | 645.53$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 599.59$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.69 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…fa80backed Real Betis Balompié | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 76c | 316.77$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.06 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Real Betis Balompié | 46c | 280.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 45cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Real Betis Balompié | 27c | 188.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 158.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Betis Balompié | 21c | 69.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 74c | 66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 48.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Real Betis Balompié | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 76c | 30.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)this page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.