Europa Conference League · resolved market
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa7df9ab53521c7c861eb3c8b7de182d6ed309908587e0474681609150118869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 1,188$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.61 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 820.23$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.83 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 748.84$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.34 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 22c | 600.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 22c | 442.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 382.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 76cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…1eddbacked Over | 74c | 127.14$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 58c | 113.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 22c | 107$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Under | 40c | 56.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…922bbacked Over | 77c | 54.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 77c | 49.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…cc35backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…a0fdbacked Over | 72c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5this page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.