Europa Conference League · resolved market
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95d2becdff441994cf594819c086307a92c1fab9a30eb37f3476c7d4390b3b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 28c | 2,074$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.11 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 22c | 664.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 638.44$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.26 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 77c | 379.04$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 27c | 215.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Under | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 57c | 104.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…b7fdbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 77c | 52.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 63c | 40.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5this page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.