Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fe25f10aac45d71e51995bb11c3050b378822b8c0d9f1f8e46ddb1956679c9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 2,466$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 37c | 1,980$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.91 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 63c | 1,659$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.7 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 63c | 660$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Over | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…dc26backed Over | 64c | 179.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 34c | 135$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 64c | 96.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 38c | 90.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…bc89backed Over | 63c | 31.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 76c | 19.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ab7backed Over | 68c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 94 | 68.1%64 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e16…41f8backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.