Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0a54c5e5fc6028a85ff4acaa22b8e67049f28329cd2dba0a350c1b7143fcca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 2,742$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.87 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 64c | 1,690$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.5 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 64c | 1,499$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 1,186$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,019$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.71 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 36c | 950$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…84edbacked Yes | 64c | 938.07$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes | 63c | 727.85$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 36c | 499.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.71 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 64c | 385.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.09 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 64c | 321.63$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 35c | 163.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 61c | 127.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Yes | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…c943backed Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.