TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,60021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No43c18,288$7,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,863.925846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No44c16,890$7,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,470.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes58c10,955$6,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,620.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes56c9,425$5,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.12152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No28c8,243$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.1244952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No10c4,634$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.318027.5%22 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c4,612$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.653,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80060%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No41c3,984$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.835158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No45c3,476$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.5452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked No12c3,191$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.972240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c2,274$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.3184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9203259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.988946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No41c1,802$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.698245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes57c1,744$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.749748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8406764.2%43 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No38c1,074$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.094042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes56c1,066$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.822576%19 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No47c1,001$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.8442844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes56c905.51$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.3810360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes51c901.78$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.199954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No41c856.86$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3127939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No44c772.77$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.0133847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes55c705$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.258420.2%17 W · 67 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes29c690.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.87540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes57c614.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.042152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed Yes54c607.99$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.672080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed No20c600.37$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.435151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes55c572.33$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Yes55c500.52$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6079532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No42c499.84$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9370%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No12c438$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2810544.8%47 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No37c433.7$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6211130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No10c421$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes56c403.96$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.578658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes58c400.02$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c371$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1924655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No46c367.65$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.121656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes55c363.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes57c350$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.53253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes44c341.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No44c325.67$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No43c301.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.851931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes57c297.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.217550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No37c296.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4512247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes56c260.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.714443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No43c249.96$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.484420.5%9 W · 35 L-11.8wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No43c234.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.047145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes47c232.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.177028.6%20 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed No48c199.19$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No43c199.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.052245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Yes56c177.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.121540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443070%21 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No46c175$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.523461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No42c172.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.414639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No41c170$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.713650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes55c153.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.252748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No55c142.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5213666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No42c138.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.091338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No45c133$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No45c133$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8512948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x693e…b1d2backed No46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes58c130$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0469…2f00backed No46c128.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.61955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No41c122.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.986139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes56c118.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.21060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5a…a319backed No44c111.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No43c109.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.34748.9%23 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed No48c109.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.111136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes54c106.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes55c106.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.333349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…d198backed Yes38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.26742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Yes54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked No16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Yes47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No41c97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.776144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No43c93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9911562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No45c92.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.786330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No43c92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.487544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No43c92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.487544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No43c92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.487647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No43c91.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.477248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+86.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed No47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…532bbacked No16c83.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.161553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes39c77.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.514436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.