Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b095159a4ef9fec2da92ecf75b7b1575e2b2c918e7b91cf3e1f163c8f592d27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 7,057$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 4,731$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.32 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 3,965$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.88 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 67c | 3,229$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 34c | 3,136$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.53 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 3,134$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 2,978$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 21c | 2,500$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,105$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,090$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.08 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 1,889$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.83 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,504$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 31c | 1,429$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.9 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 11c | 1,196$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…2935backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…1678backed Yes | 32c | 957.85$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 926$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.81 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 67c | 851.51$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 849.79$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Yes | 32c | 725.59$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 28c | 620.45$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 606.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 29c | 594.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 21c | 521.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 13c | 499.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 24c | 438.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 33c | 415.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 74c | 409.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 78c | 315.8$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 15c | 302.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes | 34c | 261.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 26c | 250$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 24c | 232.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…0a53backed Yes | 25c | 221.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 22c | 218.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 14c | 213$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 24c | 210.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed Yes | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 71c | 195.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 14c | 173.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes | 14c | 164.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 19c | 155.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 151.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Yes | 26c | 144.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…b657backed Yes | 34c | 133.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…845fbacked Yes | 17c | 125.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…b9a4backed Yes | 22c | 111.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 63c | 109.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 31c | 106.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 11c | 101.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 87.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 36c | 86.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 17c | 73.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 36c | 54.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…c06cbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…5408backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…d07ebacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…d202backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 64c | 41.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 34c | 37.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 37c | 36.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d2…84bdbacked No | 65c | 30.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…c030backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…dd1dbacked No | 73c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 78c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-05?this page
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.