La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa394d08d471e2c63a52d1493613f632f3ce739de6d9d372e1ce4f5a3a94f673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 61c | 1,738$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.01 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Under | 3c | 1,300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 5c | 849$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 660.15$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 51c | 524.36$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 62c | 337.19$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 297.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 38c | 231$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 64c | 215.86$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 204.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 61c | 181.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 61c | 131.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 31c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 62.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 41c | 59.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 59c | 48.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 40c | 34.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 59c | 31.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 38c | 30.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Under | 61c | 18.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Under | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.