TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No15c60,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0005538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes61c5,576$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.33988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No23c5,106$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.2337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No41c5,063$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.058447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…16a4backed Yes62c4,164$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c4,098$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.0362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes59c3,624$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.7414337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes59c2,830$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.666157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes60c2,645$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.9224044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No41c2,070$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes59c1,854$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.032080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes58c1,557$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.934365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9917329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No41c1,230$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.769140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No38c1,127$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.356648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes59c1,107$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.8919055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No41c999.95$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.982334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes60c866.63$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No11c852.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.662441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.332166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No44c814.74$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9633938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes62c802.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.513545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes51c766.67$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No42c766.66$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.551643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes61c689.75$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8223153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No47c658.53$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.512050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No41c585$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No40c581.49$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes60c413.88$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.363743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes59c372.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.883857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No41c370.4$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8714654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No42c357.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Yes61c339$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.216553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes54c333.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.344645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes60c330.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.61560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No39c319$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.412653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No39c299.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.997146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes59c285.86$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.29858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes59c271$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1122927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c260.13$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8415071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.242254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e60…f42cbacked Yes62c240.02$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.212560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes59c211.69$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.791154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed No6c180.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6f…7f58backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed No40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a7…5517backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+78.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1f…a9a2backed Yes58c119.28$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No42c117.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691b…d267backed No45c112.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Yes59c105.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.593740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes62c91.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.947044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…3485backed Yes60c85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes60c83.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.422729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No40c82.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-84.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes60c81.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.677145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No42c80.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8335650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No28c78.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9650%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes56c77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.881040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No38c70.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8e…5593backed Yes59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No40c66.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5226845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No28c63.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.42259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.43557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28d…c9c6backed Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.