Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc0e733e17ef78ebf52b2d66923ec77068e38e7c12dabd8cf2e5598d9ba29286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 31c | 69,975$21,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,698.5 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 79c | 49,255$38,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,349.3 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 3,011$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 53c | 1,990$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.3 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,897$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,443$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 42c | 1,035$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 73c | 757.25$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.01 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 49c | 617.58$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 569.57$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 51c | 392.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 51c | 384.05$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.78 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 61c | 370.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 44c | 340.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.95 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 16c | 320.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 49c | 247.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 42c | 237.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 47c | 222.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Yes | 48c | 210$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 49c | 200.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 59c | 170.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 169.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Yes | 10c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.66per pick | 9cpaid | +798.5%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 117.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 43c | 74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…9b59backed Yes | 46c | 73.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…c3dbbacked Yes | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 51.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked No | 78c | 40.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72f…bb59backed No | 45c | 35.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Yes | 44c | 35.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked No | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 54c | 32.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…352cbacked No | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Hannover 96 vs. VfL Bochum end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.