Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712743be72524a1ef96be9f664fe108055a2ad00e5dc4e05e51f0b789cc8d8de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 13c | 3,050$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 2,123$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 51c | 2,054$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.11 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 11c | 1,988$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.71 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.99 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,173$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.85 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 12c | 1,147$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 1,089$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 43c | 1,074$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.2 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 12c | 1,039$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 52c | 1,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…9c51backed No | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 12c | 600.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 66c | 600$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked No | 33c | 597.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 11c | 555.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 75c | 444.05$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 11c | 400.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 57c | 351.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 11c | 328.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…a252backed Yes | 66c | 303.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed No | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 13c | 282.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 17c | 273.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 6c | 204$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 53c | 189.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 12c | 168.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 14c | 144.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 70c | 142.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 53c | 94.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed No | 44c | 67.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a9a2backed Yes | 64c | 62.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 38c | 52.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 27c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 42.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 30.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 69c | 29.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 68c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 62c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will PSV vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.