TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,571 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c7,518$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.94,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under64c3,832$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.198962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Over40c2,101$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8502339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over41c1,900$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7794841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over34c1,072$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.822,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3803135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over40c915$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3663221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfcda…d764backed Over35c854.83$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.62425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+63%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over22c746.5$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.876,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over17c570.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988925.8%23 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Under76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9612060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Under62c342.62$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.622556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under70c238.57$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.578655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6719…1e71backed Over4c238.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c227.1$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.811,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Under66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.123046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c209.26$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1416731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under77c208$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.643953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over39c196.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.641,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under76c172.5$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.46262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over11c158.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8120931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over26c138.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over25c110$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under75c106.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6627173.8%200 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick76cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…7a49backed Over24c105.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under76c91.31$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2220150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3205…d8ccbacked Under77c90$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under75c69.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1558445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over25c55.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7133753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a3…ccd8backed Over25c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Over23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0090…802ebacked Over25c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+72.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7658…28bcbacked Under71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under69c39.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.292,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb287…e7acbacked Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under75c37.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4827141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over40c32.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd2…e11bbacked Under61c28.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.08540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Over39c26.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.662334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under78c26.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8489152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under75c26.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6716060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Under77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9718059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a79…7f2fbacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a0…511ebacked Under62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.