Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96c85c03f6e95ff645c6495fa6d9edba8ecab0db5e1abb51cc09cfbe8256fd1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 4,534$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.75 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 74c | 2,430$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 1,096$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 8c | 864.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Over | 70c | 711.7$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 684$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 670.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 528.81$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 463.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 74c | 463.5$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 79c | 380.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 32c | 314.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 26c | 289$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Over | 71c | 211.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Over | 76c | 197.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 53c | 186.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 177.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 36c | 170.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 72c | 129.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 9c | 121.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked Over | 78c | 118.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 114.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Under | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 108.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 79c | 103.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 71c | 100.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 27c | 79.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Under | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over | 77c | 49.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 30c | 45.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cea…edf1backed Over | 77c | 43.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 53c | 41.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 71c | 39.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…9cf3backed Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 74c | 27.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…24dbbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Under | 47c | 25.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 74c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.