Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa94e31ea50dbc8968f7b136b2e8129f282a061ff3c34a122ef09d8effe40075e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.1 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.46 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 2,429$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.11 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 2,297$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.61 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 45c | 1,779$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.63 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 1,275$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.05 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 1,229$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.85 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 44c | 1,167$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.56 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 57c | 1,056$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Yes | 57c | 1,004$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 434.39$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.6 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 360.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 57c | 350.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 57c | 272.02$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 55c | 220.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked No | 57c | 176.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 56c | 168.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 46c | 166.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 57c | 87.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 46c | 86.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 51c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked No | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 58.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Yes | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed No | 46c | 54.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 53c | 50.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 49c | 50.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 44c | 43.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 55c | 31.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Yes | 55c | 28.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Yes | 55c | 25.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed No | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 56c | 23.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…cc55backed No | 57c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…d450backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.