NFL · resolved market
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45150ff334f92fb260c3fd67b1c386a0c4b1233eb50a254b300e96f64cbdf5e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Steelers, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bengals | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Steelers | 51c | 21,500$10,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,585 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Steelers | 51c | 21,411$10,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,491.2 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bengals | 49c | 20,483$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.24 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Bengals | 49c | 14,897$7,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.43 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Steelers | 51c | 13,725$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.49 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Steelers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Bengals | 50c | 8,733$4,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bengals | 48c | 7,327$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.98 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steelers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.96 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Steelers | 52c | 5,777$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.67 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Steelers | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Steelers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bengals | 48c | 3,015$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.2 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Steelers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Steelers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals | 48c | 1,936$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.21 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bengals | 48c | 1,848$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.94 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bengals | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bengals | 48c | 1,369$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.93 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Steelers | 52c | 1,281$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.77 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Bengals | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Steelers | 52c | 1,023$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.08 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Steelers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bengals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Steelers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Bengals | 48c | 852.15$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.92 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bengals | 48c | 814.56$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.99 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Bengals | 49c | 666$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bengals | 50c | 612$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Bengals | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Bengals | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Steelers | 51c | 555$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bengals | 48c | 552$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Bengals | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Steelers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bengals | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Bengals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Steelers | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Steelers | 51c | 295$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bengals | 48c | 277.23$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Bengals | 49c | 257.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Bengals | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Steelers | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Steelers | 49c | 204.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Steelers | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Bengals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Steelers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Steelers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Steelers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Bengals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Bengals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Steelers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Bengals | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Steelers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Steelers | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Steelers | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Bengals | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Steelers | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bengals | 44c | 142.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers | 37c | 140.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041f…fce8backed Bengals | 49c | 120.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Bengals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Bengals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Bengals | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…643ebacked Bengals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…8d07backed Steelers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…a2a1backed Steelers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…a7fcbacked Bengals | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658a…3b89backed Steelers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Steelers | 53c | 75.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Bengals | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…4891backed Bengals | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Bengals | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bengals | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…b26abacked Bengals | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Steelers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Bengals | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Bengals | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Bengals | 52c | 38.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Steelers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Steelers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Bengals | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Steelers | 51c | 27.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Bengals | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…e819backed Bengals | 51c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Bengals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…2103backed Bengals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…9eb9backed Steelers | 51c | 19.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Steelers (-5.5)this page
- Bengals vs. SteelersSteelers won
- Bengals vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineSteelers won
- Bengals vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 25.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 49.5Under won
- Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Steelers (-6.5)Steelers won
- Steelers Team Total: O/U 37.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.