Australian A League · resolved market
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe44475b97da095b2a0938c2fa9a5d3920d0329f95069b8ba3eec780a70beaa0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 55c | 3,787$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,810$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.14 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 1,864$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.15 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 41c | 1,351$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.05 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 55c | 1,097$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.6 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…ae22backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 976.55$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.36 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 55c | 916.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.31 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 46c | 862.55$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.78 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 55c | 858.6$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 746.67$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 72c | 698.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.39 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 49c | 681.63$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 28c | 558.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 500.34$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.09 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 40c | 421.6$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.49 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 45c | 394.22$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 390.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 275.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 48c | 268.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 60c | 242.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 45c | 235.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 72c | 228.3$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 47c | 189.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 178.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over | 54c | 169.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 59c | 151.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa68e…94b3backed Over | 48c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 43c | 146.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Under | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 59c | 118.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Over | 61c | 86.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 41c | 82.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 51c | 78.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 32c | 68.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 63c | 47.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 50c | 46.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Over | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Over | 44c | 45.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…9a80backed Over | 55c | 44.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…524abacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…9551backed Under | 49c | 42.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 40c | 42.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 40c | 41.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…cfbebacked Over | 53c | 38.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…f495backed Under | 47c | 36.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 54c | 35.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 69c | 34.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…8d6ebacked Under | 39c | 31.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 45c | 31.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Under | 42c | 29.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 54c | 28.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 43c | 23.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecec…d72fbacked Under | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Over | 54c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.