Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de1547e35b5563360d76693f193674d29b22bd7056d45e11047164bbbf5bc8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 49c | 2,031$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.92 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 1,347$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.5 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,310$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.24 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 943$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.93 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Under | 47c | 345$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 22c | 332$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 264.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 46c | 229$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 50c | 219.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 49c | 142.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Under | 49c | 118$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +9.4wins | +0.47per pick | 38cpaid | +463.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 54c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 45c | 71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 49.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…103cbacked Over | 49c | 39.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 50c | 32.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 150.5this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 151.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-5.5)Clemson Tigers won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-6.5)Clemson Tigers won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-7.5)Clemson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.