Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x905dd51a985e62c297b371a3f49e20a7e10dd0586684dcc8b374a6b017fad5e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof BYU Cougars, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 60c | 2,154$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars | 40c | 1,831$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked BYU Cougars | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Clemson Tigers | 62c | 243.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed BYU Cougars | 38c | 167.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 154$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Clemson Tigers | 56c | 144$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Clemson Tigers | 57c | 102$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked BYU Cougars | 44c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Clemson Tigers | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed BYU Cougars | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked BYU Cougars | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Clemson Tigers | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed BYU Cougars | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed BYU Cougars | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Clemson Tigers | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed BYU Cougars | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed BYU Cougars | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Clemson Tigers | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked BYU Cougars | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked BYU Cougars | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed BYU Cougars | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked BYU Cougars | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-7.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 150.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 151.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-5.5)Clemson Tigers won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-6.5)Clemson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.