Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd862c5be18e1a5a0ce83b3d166f6d1f8da221cd5e215084087fcdeb525689822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof BYU Cougars, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars | 46c | 4,811$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 3,969$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked BYU Cougars | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 1,086$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.56 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Clemson Tigers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked BYU Cougars | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 59c | 397$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 177$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 169$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Clemson Tigers | 48c | 167$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 107.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Clemson Tigers | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Clemson Tigers | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Clemson Tigers | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked BYU Cougars | 21c | 63.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked BYU Cougars | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed BYU Cougars | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed BYU Cougars | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked BYU Cougars | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Clemson Tigers | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked BYU Cougars | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked BYU Cougars | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-6.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 150.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 151.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-5.5)Clemson Tigers won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-7.5)Clemson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.