Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ff620329a9df52734557bd1c72589df3831e1c147d738d334b88aa35ca9c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof BYU Cougars, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e98…a64dbacked Clemson Tigers | 5c | 9,505$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,029.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 8,079$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 4,282$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 3,794$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.93 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Clemson Tigers | 53c | 1,793$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.44 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed BYU Cougars | 47c | 901$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.06 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Clemson Tigers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BYU Cougars | 47c | 458$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.83 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Clemson Tigers | 43c | 243$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 206$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 151.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BYU Cougars | 48c | 142.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed BYU Cougars | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…a297backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Clemson Tigers | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed BYU Cougars | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Clemson Tigers | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 48.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…103cbacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked BYU Cougars | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…4e84backed Clemson Tigers | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Clemson Tigers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Clemson Tigers | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-5.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 150.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 151.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-6.5)Clemson Tigers won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-7.5)Clemson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.