South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dcf59b81399f6a23e7e13ca9499c60857ae33699ae100b6e2ff9f5f98289740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 6,945$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.25 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 3,768$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 46c | 2,910$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.6 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 2,184$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 2,176$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.81 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 43c | 995.25$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.38 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 845.62$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 47c | 837.38$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.98 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 773.7$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 65c | 650$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.5 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 34c | 579.8$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.93 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 499.93$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.78 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 20c | 492$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.6 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 53c | 491$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.23 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 52c | 414.05$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 32c | 405.11$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.14 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 48c | 390.62$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 48c | 364$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 6c | 359$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 49c | 333.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 274.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.57 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Yes | 54c | 253.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 50c | 199.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…4355backed Yes | 56c | 193.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 45c | 164.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 123.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 51c | 120.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8291backed No | 52c | 112.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 56c | 111.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…01bdbacked No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 55c | 106.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 17c | 88.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 53c | 82.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 56c | 82.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 34c | 82.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Yes | 49c | 79.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 46c | 69.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 33c | 60.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 48c | 59.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked No | 63c | 58.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 58.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 46c | 55.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 68c | 52.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…a330backed Yes | 54c | 45.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 44c | 41.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed No | 53c | 35.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5e…a693backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…e140backed Yes | 71c | 24.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed No | 53c | 24.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked No | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Yes | 53c | 23.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 52c | 21.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will FC Juárez vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.