South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5145f1511ebc450ecdebeeb5c2ae1c0e0c82df863be025f194362391a8d938d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 6,920$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.54 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 5,541$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 3,822$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.23 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,876$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.49 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 18c | 877$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 800.84$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 23c | 760.84$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.14 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 708.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 23c | 430$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 23c | 404.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 16c | 276.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…dd18backed Yes | 14c | 270$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 76c | 238.73$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 21c | 232.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 75c | 228$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 211.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 209$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 76c | 156.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 27c | 131.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 22c | 119.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 73c | 101.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Yes | 24c | 100.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 20c | 99.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 15c | 98.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 18c | 97.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes | 18c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbf…ec49backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed No | 79c | 25.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…664fbacked No | 80c | 24.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 77c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
- Will FC Juárez vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.