Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87926b30af386deb274eb5ab4058c74e330d2d0876aecfd44ff79f146d6c3dbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x930c…c735backed Over | 49c | 15,388$7,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,540.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…f489backed Under | 51c | 15,366$7,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,529.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…b7febacked Under | 51c | 15,256$7,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,475.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…3ec1backed Over | 49c | 15,234$7,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,464.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 50c | 1,198$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…9d09backed Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Under | 4c | 975.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.8 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 43c | 514.54$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Over | 42c | 463.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 50c | 357.2$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 59c | 261.31$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 50c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 14c | 240$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Under | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Under | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 51c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 37cpaid | +195.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.