Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38699412592cd07fbdc0ed09ef0dc51bd58b17d55dc71bb29a71db4df5e8022c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 16c | 12,500$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.41 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 9c | 8,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 77c | 2,999$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.81 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 2,450$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 14c | 1,058$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 23c | 999.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 973$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.79 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 6c | 858.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 13c | 767.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 22c | 687.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 77c | 651.09$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 625.12$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 438.91$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…6f92backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 14c | 307.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…9aa7backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 77c | 276.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Yes | 23c | 227.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Yes | 23c | 182.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 22c | 159.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…f583backed Yes | 16c | 157$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fd…8bcfbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…e565backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f2…7f2ebacked No | 78c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…06bcbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 14c | 79.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 22c | 74.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 23c | 60.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 22c | 58.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed No | 77c | 51.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…931ebacked Yes | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.