Euroleague · resolved market
Monaco vs. Fenerbahce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23f0b0afd5e7e832cf9e8c23128c0bce1e9e4609bb5e42caf6791886d0fe4fbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Monaco, Fenerbahce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fenerbahce | 38c | 5,078$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.81 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Monaco | 71c | 3,997$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.54 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Fenerbahce | 33c | 3,055$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.7 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Monaco | 69c | 2,099$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.51 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco | 70c | 856.59$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.8 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Fenerbahce | 26c | 729.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.39 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Fenerbahce | 28c | 689.11$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.16 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…18afbacked Monaco | 72c | 661.33$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Fenerbahce | 32c | 616.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Fenerbahce | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Monaco | 71c | 499.6$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.36 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monaco | 69c | 467$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.41 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Monaco | 71c | 453.94$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.47 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Monaco | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monaco | 39c | 368.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.05 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Fenerbahce | 31c | 354.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Fenerbahce | 32c | 317.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Monaco | 67c | 295$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Monaco | 73c | 273.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Monaco | 71c | 257.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Monaco | 37c | 244.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Fenerbahce | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Fenerbahce | 18c | 169.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Fenerbahce | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Monaco | 78c | 129.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fenerbahce | 32c | 124.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Fenerbahce | 61c | 110.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Fenerbahce | 18c | 100.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Monaco | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Monaco | 71c | 64.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Fenerbahce | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Monaco | 63c | 54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Fenerbahce | 31c | 53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa155…e4e4backed Monaco | 53c | 45.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Fenerbahce | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…c5cdbacked Monaco | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Monaco | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Monaco | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Monaco | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Monaco | 72c | 15.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.