Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c590ea11da183aa8f61008f8ddf233a3e0255ad314cd9209063db93e9c216e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 25c | 60,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 54c | 23,286$12,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,711.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 6,802$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.96 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 54c | 5,022$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.12 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 56c | 4,826$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.6 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 53c | 2,008$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.88 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 1,898$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 1,799$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.02 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 6c | 1,523$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 44c | 1,370$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 1,127$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.17 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 33c | 888.79$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.71 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 5c | 737.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +746.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 613$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.46 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 574.75$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.89 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 545.85$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 12c | 510.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 44c | 461.67$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 395.39$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 12c | 326$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 63c | 238.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 80c | 235$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 72c | 226.72$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 222$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 45c | 207.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 56c | 199.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 29c | 195.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 43c | 149.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 143.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 44c | 137.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…e36cbacked Yes | 55c | 127$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 33c | 118.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Yes | 76c | 94.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 78c | 89.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Yes | 58c | 86.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 56c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed No | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 41c | 49.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Yes | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Yes | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 58c | 37.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…4446backed Yes | 59c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 44c | 26.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…39c7backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…a00abacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Yes | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…1510backed Yes | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed Yes | 57c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 56c | 18.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.