Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x057f68082e983e8b36a9a218ccfd286286f10cefea9fa8e983b7bf019c7e0e47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,058$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 901$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.16 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 583$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 7c | 553$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 26c | 496.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 235.12$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 208.14$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 13c | 137$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 25c | 117$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 25c | 117$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked No | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 25c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked No | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed No | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed No | 75c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 74c | 33.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…a00abacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.