College Football · resolved market
Colorado vs. Kansas State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca7a1b764f14ef57078a9bbc2b81f4714513aa52472dc7e21e364598990f431a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Stateof Colorado, Kansas State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Colorado | 11c | 25,268$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.46 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Colorado | 11c | 16,057$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.24 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State | 73c | 14,759$10,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.11 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Colorado | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado | 20c | 7,336$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.66 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Colorado | 14c | 4,912$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.46 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colorado | 21c | 4,120$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.59 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado | 14c | 3,669$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.43 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Colorado | 11c | 3,100$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Colorado | 10c | 2,712$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colorado | 23c | 2,579$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.67 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Colorado | 2c | 2,077$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado | 19c | 1,626$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.29 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Colorado | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Colorado | 12c | 1,535$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colorado | 12c | 1,309$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Colorado | 12c | 1,086$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Colorado | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Colorado | 13c | 987.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Colorado | 12c | 834$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Colorado | 28c | 820$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Colorado | 14c | 714.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado | 12c | 670.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…e9dfbacked Colorado | 14c | 657.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Colorado | 11c | 569$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…6ccdbacked Colorado | 10c | 557.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Colorado | 26c | 504.62$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Colorado | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Colorado | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas State | 74c | 453$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Colorado | 13c | 412.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Colorado | 26c | 402.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Kansas State | 75c | 397.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…7a51backed Colorado | 20c | 374.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Colorado | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Kansas State | 70c | 265.71$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colorado | 10c | 243.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Colorado | 5c | 218.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Colorado | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Colorado | 24c | 166.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado | 12c | 152$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed Colorado | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas State | 73c | 138.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Colorado | 18c | 125.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Colorado | 11c | 118.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Colorado | 13c | 117.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Colorado | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Colorado | 27c | 95.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…547dbacked Colorado | 13c | 94.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Colorado | 13c | 93.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…fc59backed Colorado | 28c | 92.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Colorado | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Colorado | 13c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99d…3057backed Colorado | 18c | 58.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…1386backed Colorado | 18c | 58.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Kansas State | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked Kansas State | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…55b1backed Kansas State | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Kansas State | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado vs. Kansas Statethis page
- Colorado vs. Kansas State: O/U 49.5Under won
- Colorado vs. Kansas State: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas State (-17.5)Colorado won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.