La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x472ce6f8baf75793133463992f53610ce96ca2c7c4f2e0ca6d9fd3d07a2fc9ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 7,167$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.46 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,558$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.4 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 50c | 1,001$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.68 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 30c | 799$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 50c | 599.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 51c | 564.22$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.47 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 426.57$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 47c | 181.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 52c | 108.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 63c | 101$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 59c | 86.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 44c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 56c | 51.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…1147backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked No | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 46c | 35.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 39c | 33.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 50c | 31.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 71c | 29.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 51c | 23.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed No | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?No won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.