La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee07ceac79c7dbac9ac7b9ee3e547e26f257d1470f4ad6e5be1713918bb1d123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf05e…429abacked Yes | 7c | 7,250$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,742.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 5,729$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,164$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.12 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 25c | 808.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.52 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 24c | 537.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 24c | 535.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.76 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 402.51$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 23c | 272$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 22c | 242.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 235$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 73c | 212.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 77c | 133$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 77c | 99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 23c | 89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 61c | 88.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 82.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 19c | 73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Yes | 23c | 73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 24c | 72.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 24c | 63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 77c | 62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked No | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 25c | 40.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 76c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed No | 77c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 68c | 33.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed No | 77c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 77c | 26.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…d9dfbacked No | 73c | 25.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked No | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Cádiz CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.