La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc9367af7ac696c6205432b6bf9ef3af15d3e5c5db7b8a4defb8fb7d5f3b7b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 1,369$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.11 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,014$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.05 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 763$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 434.1$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 28c | 183.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 133.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 31c | 84.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 63c | 78.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 29.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 62c | 19.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.