La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb64267075ff7b6f6208b81f38ea8ffbcf4ae428e2cdece0f75e465371e15bb4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 3c | 1,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 1,480$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 1,275$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.65 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Under | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 37c | 580.04$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.34 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 334.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 71c | 279$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 59c | 240$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Over | 41c | 183.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 61c | 181.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 24c | 178.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Under | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 59c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 59c | 122$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 120.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…0b90backed Over | 43c | 117.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 20c | 116.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 59c | 113$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 59c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 58c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 59c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0092…347cbacked Over | 43c | 42.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Over | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 72c | 31.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…cf52backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.