La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7436ac055fe30a0f83d2b683f4bcce2e131042c0cb7455a152107663c362098f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 3,449$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 4c | 3,300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Over | 51c | 2,152$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 6c | 1,400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 34c | 1,254$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.04 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 695.3$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.1 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Under | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 58c | 311.44$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 37c | 204.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 78c | 177.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…a621backed Over | 61c | 165.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…c3f1backed Over | 80c | 144.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…97c2backed Over | 40c | 103.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 100.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 72.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 60.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Under | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 34.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Under | 51c | 32.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Under | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.