La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x015c5678528b2c9f5b58ddbe87f33b9ac14542fefc988fcb13827d08dffb63d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sevilla FCof Sevilla FC, Real Oviedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Oviedo | 71c | 5,519$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sevilla FC | 22c | 4,338$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.45 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sevilla FC | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.89 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Real Oviedo | 79c | 899.2$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.37 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Real Oviedo | 3c | 676.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Sevilla FC | 22c | 600$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Sevilla FC | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +335.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc89c…d58cbacked Real Oviedo | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sevilla FC | 24c | 253$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.08 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Real Oviedo | 32c | 250.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Sevilla FC | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Sevilla FC | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Real Oviedo | 77c | 148$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Real Oviedo | 69c | 134.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Sevilla FC | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Sevilla FC | 22c | 51.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Sevilla FC | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Sevilla FC | 23c | 46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Real Oviedo | 77c | 46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…6a30backed Sevilla FC | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Real Oviedo | 79c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.