La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec6f81af08554458aa6a834e831031c13bd38b3b995a1d4fe15686a2346446af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 31c | 1,151$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.93 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 468.77$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 32c | 356.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 68c | 282.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 32c | 147$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 32c | 123$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 32c | 113$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 32c | 109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 32c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Over | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Over | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.