Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-01?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02dd9cb3a7f96c5a053aca7d282cce8f450d8a29ddff6e6d7692cf0c11061e58

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,003 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	62c	5,804$3,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,216.01	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	67c	5,245$3,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.9	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	60c	5,065$3,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,025.25	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	42c	4,488$1,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,865.48	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	41c	2,814$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.08	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	58c	1,512$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.61	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes	40c	1,500$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes	39c	1,499$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.61	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes	20c	1,458$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	67c	1,451$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.72	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Yes	44c	1,364$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Yes	42c	1,190$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No	56c	1,175$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+10.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes	18c	1,099$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	138	42%58 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes	33c	1,030$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.9wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes	36c	882.4$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321	115	34.8%40 W · 75 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes	43c	600$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No	61c	595.23$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.51	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No	59c	508.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.47	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	270	24.8%67 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	115	33.9%39 W · 76 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	62c	457.69$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.16	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No	58c	456.9$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.9	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+50%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	40c	410.46$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.56	285	31.2%89 W · 196 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes	42c	314.14$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No	58c	300$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes	32c	259$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.29	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-5.7wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes	43c	252.93$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.76	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	42c	240.47$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.98	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16e4…0641backed Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	196	54.6%107 W · 89 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	152	57.2%87 W · 65 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	70.4%50 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes	39c	224.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.75	76	35.5%27 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes	39c	216.95$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.61	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Yes	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes	26c	200$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.6	170	17.6%30 W · 140 L	-27.5wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No	59c	199.98$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.99	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes	42c	190.88$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.17	176	35.8%63 W · 113 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	40c	187.5$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No	57c	184.61$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.23	182	59.3%108 W · 74 L	+14.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No	59c	174$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.34	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes	44c	154.3$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.16	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes	43c	151.16$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No	58c	148.72$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.46	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes	7c	146.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes	40c	139$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9d…e565backed Yes	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes	41c	122$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.02	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	129	35.7%46 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa686…8fccbacked No	60c	106.98$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.79	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	39c	102.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	233	50.2%117 W · 116 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Yes	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-25%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5853…dc28backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ac…0871backed Yes	39c	93.31$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.39	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes	42c	88$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes	30c	85$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes	43c	83.14$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	139	44.6%62 W · 77 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes	45c	77.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No	58c	75$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdcd…b8e6backed Yes	41c	70$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes	38c	69.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	208	40.9%85 W · 123 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes	41c	69.66$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	122	41.8%51 W · 71 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes	32c	68.66$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.97	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed No	61c	65.15$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.15	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6512…78c9backed Yes	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2425…d39abacked Yes	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…505cbacked Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes	40c	62.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4172…1bb1backed Yes	40c	62.49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	53cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes	33c	59.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes	20c	59.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes	43c	58.42$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Yes	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…6d43backed Yes	43c	47.73$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-7.2wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	41.1%39 W · 56 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8948…63cbbacked Yes	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.8wins	-0.27per pick	49cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xceee…aa7ebacked No	59c	44.76$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	42c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	182	51.6%94 W · 88 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	60c	39.19$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.86	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Yes	39c	38.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	87	63.2%55 W · 32 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	36cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes	43c	31.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…6e99backed Yes	39c	30.77$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdaf…7556backed Yes	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No	58c	29.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.59	396	51.5%204 W · 192 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes	42c	28.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes	42c	28.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked No	61c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	164	45.7%75 W · 89 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
Will Derby County FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-01?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event