CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfedd9fdf2bc03af0585cadf56c2ffb78e2cfbb305cae9cb07990920e93d8ac2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Over | 49c | 2,298$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Over | 54c | 1,862$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 48c | 1,781$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.31 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 44c | 1,639$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.52 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 51c | 1,026$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.15 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.41 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 40c | 898.83$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.3 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 53c | 739.42$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.33 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 50c | 410.87$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.43 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Under | 52c | 403.3$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 214.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Under | 57c | 175.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…1853backed Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Under | 22c | 127.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…5231backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Over | 45c | 106.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 104.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 52c | 94.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…9ec4backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Under | 60c | 74.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Over | 51c | 73.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Over | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Under | 23c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 46c | 55.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…cff9backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…fc20backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Over | 46c | 45.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…839dbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 43.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over | 46c | 43.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…9c5abacked Under | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Under | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…8e39backed Under | 60c | 17.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…78a0backed Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.