Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0051167a9119990d175979df7fff9ac5f947478170235bfb2886f2a0dc6214d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 34c | 17,646$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.61 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed Yes | 71c | 9,051$6,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Yes | 66c | 8,144$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 30c | 6,902$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 5,975$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 29c | 5,709$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.68 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 4,460$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.97 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 68c | 4,428$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.05 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 3,151$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,350$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed No | 31c | 1,834$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 69c | 1,800$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 69c | 1,587$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.8 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,531$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 1,086$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.21 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Yes | 65c | 860.77$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 34c | 700.23$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.24 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 70c | 684.29$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 56c | 669.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 71c | 597.18$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes | 68c | 548.67$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 33c | 522.42$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 70c | 501.95$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 66c | 488.45$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 69c | 475$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 67c | 448.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 71c | 420.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 67c | 393.61$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 35c | 336.73$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…1fdebacked Yes | 71c | 282$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Yes | 71c | 281.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 72c | 279.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 33c | 206$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 198.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 31c | 190.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 66c | 161.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 11c | 149.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 37c | 146.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 66c | 141.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…c3b0backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 30c | 131$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 33c | 96.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 53c | 95.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 36c | 84.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 31c | 83.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 71c | 81.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 71c | 77.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed No | 36c | 73.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 66c | 69.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 34c | 59.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 43c | 52.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 63c | 50.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 25c | 48.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 66c | 37.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Yes | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 63c | 34.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 57c | 32.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…9e7cbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…8dc7backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…e7d6backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Yes | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 61c | 23.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 70c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 57c | 19.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 66c | 19.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Livingston FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.