Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Livingston FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42db8582c0f18b7e4e9d7444933d7acc532b7f0dade0f3f68bd849ed3598d43d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 1,883$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.32 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 1,528$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 78c | 770.22$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 747$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 11c | 700$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 12c | 277.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 271.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 14c | 269.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 15c | 241.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 12c | 179.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 13c | 156.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ac…65dbbacked Yes | 13c | 150.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 10c | 131.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 12c | 125.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 117$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 13c | 108$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 12c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 12c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 15c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 21c | 75.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 17c | 67.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 53.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 68c | 17.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 79c | 17.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked No | 76c | 14.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Livingston FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
- Will Livingston FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.