NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf593adc9a845f9f47ae8a8345350536863ebee60e44821261ed1916c25db5f40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 4,697$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Over | 54c | 897.15$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.76 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 27c | 732.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 411$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 264.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 53c | 223.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 210.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 42c | 192$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce28…51bfbacked Over | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 43c | 155$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 40c | 147.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 44c | 124$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Over | 57c | 123.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…c7e8backed Over | 60c | 117.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 41c | 95.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Over | 59c | 84.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 43c | 84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 47c | 78.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 43c | 74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Over | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 40c | 40.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 53c | 22.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Over | 53c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Hornets won
- Warriors vs. HornetsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.