NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd99d135276fdceb3c216d25b850bd8021bce172a287deeb4691eb0f36ba658a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 4,968$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.88 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Over | 54c | 4,259$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.26 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c1…b4afbacked Over | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 217$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Over | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 41c | 201.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 42c | 188$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 42c | 143$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 103.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 43c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 58c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.