NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6d3d35cdd2241a920939172bab9a86ff74b3bb513d13e65783e50c31d57d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Panthers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Canucks | 49c | 13,822$6,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,772.85 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Canucks | 51c | 9,949$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.34 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Panthers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Canucks | 49c | 2,338$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 49c | 1,846$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.44 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Panthers | 50c | 1,374$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.75 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 48c | 1,138$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.01 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Canucks | 50c | 825.12$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.56 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Canucks | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Panthers | 50c | 580$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Canucks | 49c | 321.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Panthers | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Canucks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Canucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Canucks | 52c | 194.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Canucks | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Canucks | 49c | 113.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Canucks | 50c | 106.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Panthers | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Canucks | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Canucks | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canucks | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Panthers | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Panthers | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Panthers | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Canucks | 52c | 48.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Canucks | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Canucks | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Panthers | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Panthers | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Panthers | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Canucks | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.