Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1656c6f870bade033a3cf9451e3a75378e280a6e8462ee057283dd966e94ae52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 33c | 9,198$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 5,178$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.93 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,745$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.31 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 46c | 1,116$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 14c | 1,050$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 1,013$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,001$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 77c | 783.04$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 765.19$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.5 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 736.8$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.93 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 64c | 471$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 338.25$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 282$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 55c | 258.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 40c | 210$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 30c | 205.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +312.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 71c | 193.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 49c | 188$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 143.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed No | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 47c | 136$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No | 46c | 111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 48c | 105.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 64c | 104.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 46c | 96.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed No | 48c | 73.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Yes | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 45.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Yes | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 45c | 44.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 46c | 41.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Yes | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed No | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 66c | 32.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 51c | 31.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 54c | 27.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…2584backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Yes | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…453cbacked Yes | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Yes | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ħamrun Spartans FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.