Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec856ba6c9479f4b513c05d8fb5e6b0ea18a773119576cca429dcfb13e5379da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 998.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 5c | 600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 78c | 286.36$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 22c | 247.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 20c | 188$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 20c | 142$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 78c | 141.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 20c | 90.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed No | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked No | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…2236backed Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 41.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…1a34backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed No | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed No | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 66cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 79cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 78c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ħamrun Spartans FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-12-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.